Somewhat reddit-brained lib friend of mine sent this article which triggered a whole discussion of geopolitics: https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/tsmcs-euv-machines-are-equipped-with-a-remote-self-destruct-in-case-of-an-invasion
He said that would reduce the chance of an invasion and I was like (paraphrasing): “really? does it? the generations-long and unfinished business of the chinese civil war and all the history there is outweighed by the thought of losing one chip fab that they’ve already proven they don’t really need after all the sanctions? They aren’t going to invade unless their hand is forced, there’s literally already US troops on taiwan-held islands, if they were on the brink of invading they would have done it already, but they aren’t.”
He basically argued that the majority of people there wanted to be independent therefore its simple self determination and the US should help them, etc.
I said the no capitalist state gives a flying fuck about self determination and asked if texas has the right to secede, or perhaps more relevantly, if texas settlers had the right to secede from mexico and join the US in the first place? because its not like the nationalists that took over the island were its native inhabitants, who are now mostly dead, flooding a low-population place with “settlers” doesn’t mean you own it…
we went back and forth a bunch and he stopped arguing when I pointed out the inconsistency of supporting palestine but also taiwan, when they (while not the same, taiwan wasn’t settler colonialism) have kind of a similar arc, what with israel’s “majority”, both having invaded and largely displacing the prior inhabitants.
I don’t feel I had all the best arguments at my disposal, though overall I feel good about my responses.
Taiwan’s current status is not independent, it’s in a weird in-between state. Polling has shown over and over again that the people of Taiwan mainly support the continuation of the status quo. This person is provably wrong and has no idea what they are talking about.
Also absolutely false. It was settled by the KMT circa '47-'49 when it became clear to them they were about to lose the Civil War. A huge number of KMT-aligned people went to Taiwan and the KMT established a brutal military dictatorship that slaughtered natives and dissidents for decades in the White Terror. That’s part of the reason that indigenous people make up only like 2% of the population there (though much of the population is the much older wave of Han Chinese).
Not that any of this is particularly worth arguing to your friend about.